Measured data · NFP on 2 October 2026
How EUR/USD, USD/JPY and gold moved after Nonfarm Payrolls on 2 October 2026
gold moved $41 (0.97% of its price) in the release minute: 58 of the 63 earlier NFP releases moved it less. These are measurements from one-minute prices, not estimates.
The release minute, against every earlier NFP release
| Instrument | Biggest move in the release minute | Against earlier releases | Typical earlier release |
|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 27 pips (0.24%) | larger than 23 of 65 | 0.27% |
| USD/JPY | 37 pips (0.23%) | larger than 20 of 66 | 0.32% |
| gold | $41 (0.97%) | larger than 58 of 63 | 0.45% |
Through to the New York close
| Instrument | First minute | Net move by the close | Direction at the close | Size against earlier releases |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | up | +19 pips (0.17%) | up | larger than 20 of 64 |
| USD/JPY | down | +28 pips (0.18%) | up | larger than 16 of 66 |
| gold | up | −$49 (1.18%) | down | larger than 45 of 61 |
What the numbers show
- EUR/USD's release minute move was 27 pips, 0.24% of its price; 23 of the 65 earlier NFP releases moved it less.
- USD/JPY's release minute move was 37 pips, 0.23% of its price; 20 of the 66 earlier NFP releases moved it less.
- gold's release minute move was $41, 0.97% of its price; 58 of the 63 earlier NFP releases moved it less.
- The first move did not last. USD/JPY and gold finished the New York day on the other side of its pre-release price from where the first minute took it.
- The first move held to the close for EUR/USD.
Impact reports what happened. It gives no trading advice, and past moves say nothing certain about the next release.
How this was measured
- The release. Nonfarm Payrolls, Friday 2 October 2026, 8:30 am New York.
- Prices. One-minute bid bars from Impact's price feed (the same data as Impact's charts), from two minutes before to 17:00 New York time. Market prices, not any one broker's execution.
- Price just before. The close of the minute before the release.
- Biggest move in the release minute. How far the price went from that level, either direction, during the minute starting at the release.
- Against earlier releases. The count of earlier NFP releases since March 2021, in the full measured series, whose move as a share of price was smaller. Other US data often prints at the same moment, so each figure describes the market then, not one number in isolation.
See it for every release
Impact shows this for each economic release as it happens: second-by-second reaction charts, the spread at news time next to the normal spread, and every past occurrence of the same release.